ftr.ct.lb is a collaboration of leading engineers, universities and scientists worldwide in or- der to elaborate a (positive) urban vision for the next generations.
This vision should help to establish the planning directions that we need to take today.
See more visions and join the discussion here ftrctlb.com
We love 2050!
Don’t just stick someone else’s project in ||
Relate the structure with the topic ||
How will density increase CO2 ||
Need to zoom in and out ||
Think big picture ||
Can older people live in the train station? ||
Think about the train stations typology and connection to the grid
Density can’t be measured like population
Write your own brief of your buildings in a detailed way, explaining your towers
Ftrctlb: How does the change in climate influence your topic in your city.
Please also describe what is the change in climate conditions for your city.
Because temperatures will become more extreme over the next 30 years, there will be a much greater need for cooler areas. The temperatures seen in Paris in Summer 2003 will become the norm for these areas. Topics, such as urban heat island and urban greening, will be major aspects in keeping cities cool. Because the temperatures will be in the extremes, health issues will become a major concern with the population (i.e. dehydration) and even an altered distribution of new diseases.
raise in temperatures: http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/6/21/39762914.pdf
how health is affected by climate: http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/effects/health.html
Ftrctlb: How does the change in demographics influence your topic in your city.
Please also describe what is the projected demographics in your city.
The projections for Berlin state there will be a major shift in the age structure. Over 60% of the will be 65+ and a mere 30% will be of the working age. This will change the dynamic of the city immensely. Research has shown the best buildings for the elderly to live in are high-rise structures, because they have elevators and different commodities that are in close range. By having mixed use towers, the ease of living for elderly will become mandatory.
Another projection includes a majority of the immigrant population will move away from Berlin, either back to their home country, or to another location. By having a decrease in population, The city will have to be planned in an alternate way, to allow for more centralized districts.
research by Protocol Architecture: http://protocolarchitecture.wordpress.com/berlin-recovery-plan/
Ftctlb: What are the 3 other topics that would influence your topics.
Please let us know what are the links.
For one, technology advances would influence my topic greatly. With newer technologies, more jobs can be created, causing more people to move into the cities. People want to live in cities that are up to date with the current and future advances.
Another topic that would be significant is water usage. Water is becoming a scarcity. Just as cities began by forming around a body of water (rivers, coastlines) they will return to be the most dense around these areas. Water is not only used for transportation of goods, it is important for drinking, cleaning and cooling off during the extreme heat waves.
Finally, quality of life is most important. People want to feel comfortable, high-tech, in the know and surrounded by other people. People want to live where the general population is. They want to see and be seen. This is an important part of cities.
Ftrctlb: What is the most important detail in your vision in regards to your topic.
Please present the research that this one is based on (link to wiki page).
The most important detail in my vision is based on the mixed use towers. The architecture firm Lewis Tsurumaki Lewis (LTL) calls themselves "opportunistic architecture" and has done significant research on multi-use towers. These towers can not only help centralize the population, they create a specific urban density that is longed for. People want to live with other people. They want to meet at cafes, bars, bookshops; however, they also want to stay close to home. By having mixed use towers, people can have everything they need in one place.
for more information: http://ftrctlb.com/node/255
An interesting argument has come to my attention. While researching population, demographics and urban densification, I ran across some research with an alternate view. By the author Ben J. Wattenberg we have
Fewer: How the New Demography of Depopulation Will Shape Our Future.
Wattenberg states, very plainly and with interesting data, that the projected “10-billion” population for the future is an overestimate. He says a family averages around 1.8 children. Eventually parents will die thus a decrease in population.
So the question posed from his argument becomes: How do we focus on density at a temporary scale?
is this a valid argument? I do no know. There is a lot of data that projects an exponential growth in population, but if not for anything else, the idea behind this is quite interesting. We tend to overestimate for those “just-in-case” scenarios, which all to often does not happen. As Wattenberg also addresses in his book, when women move to cities, they become more independant; they get more of an “I can do anything” mentality. This fuels their role to be less of a stay-at-home mom and more of a “power woman”.
The data also suggest that a vast majority of the population in cities have less kids. My Uncle and Aunt in California have no kids. A good friend in New Jersey has 6 siblings in his immediate family. Another friend in Kansas has never been married and she has no kids. There is a natural balance to certain situations, that suggest the population increase will not be as drastic as 10 billion.
Regardless of right or wrong, there is still the Truth that 75% of the population will move to cities in 2050. There could be 7.5 billion people living in cities or 4.5 billion, the facts remain the same. The city will become dense, and we need to understand how to solve it. Transportation, water, energy use, all become major factors for designing the future; and this is where ftr.ct.lb. comes into play.